Assessment of Climate Change Mitigation Pathways and Evaluation of the Robustness of Mitigation Cost

  • Finished
  • Started: Feb 2011
  • Ended: Feb 2014


Dipl.-Kfm. Dr. Sebastian Busch
Dipl.-Ing. Dr. André Ortner
Dipl.-Ing. Dr. Christian Panzer
Dipl.-Ing. Dr. Gustav Resch

Project description

Climate policy needs to aim at ambitious long-term climate stabilization. This will require managing the transition

from carbon intensive to low carbon economies within this century. Research on mitigation pathways to a low

carbon society and the associated mitigation costs is indispensable for informing policy makers. The project

AMPERE is aiming for a broad exploration of mitigation pathways and associated mitigation costs under various

real world limitations, while at the same time generating a better understanding about the differences across

models, and the relation to historical trends. Uncertainties about the costs of mitigation originate from the

entire causal chain ranging from economic activity, to emissions and related technologies, and the response

of the carbon cycle and climate system to greenhouse gas emissions. AMPERE will use a sizable ensemble

of state-of-the-art energy-economy and integrated assessment models to analyse mitigation pathways and

associated mitigation costs in a series of multi-model intercomparisons. It will focus on four central areas:


The role of uncertainty about the climate response to anthropogenic forcing on the remaining carbon budget for

supplying societies around the globe with energy,

(ii) the role of technology availability, innovation and myopia

in the energy sector,

(iii) the role of policy imperfections like limited regional or sectoral participation in climate

policy regimes, and

(iv) the implications for decarbonisation scenarios and policies for Europe.

Last updated: 17 May 2011